Minn Duluth
W-L: (21-13) PR = 99.1655Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 1011 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 1017 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 7- 3 1018 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 5- 1 1024 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 0 1025 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 4- 1 1031 A North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 4- 3 1101 A North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 1- 5 1107 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 0 1108 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 3- 2 1114 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 5- 2 1115 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 0- 2 1121 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 4- 2 1122 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 2 1205 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 4- 1 1206 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 2- 3 1212 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 1 1213 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 109 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 6- 3 110 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 8- 4 116 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 0- 6 117 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 5- 3 123 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 3- 4 124 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 3- 4 130 A Denver (24-11, 99.7) 3- 4 131 A Denver (24-11, 99.7) 0- 1 206 H North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 3- 2 207 H North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 1- 4 220 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 221 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 227 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 228 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 2 306 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 3 307 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 2- 1 314 A North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 5- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H Augustana 4- 1 3 1 1.97
1011 H Augustana 0- 4 -4 1 -- -5.03
1017 A Bemidji St 7- 3 4 2 + 2.37
1018 H Bemidji St 5- 1 4 2 1.64
1024 A Minnesota 3- 0 3 1 1.95
1025 A Minnesota 4- 1 3 1 1.95
1031 A North Dakota 4- 3 1 -1 1.62
1101 A North Dakota 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.38
1107 H St Cloud St 4- 0 4 1 + 2.78
1108 H St Cloud St 3- 2 1 1 -0.22
1114 H Omaha 5- 2 3 2 1.25
1115 H Omaha 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.75
1121 A Colorado Col 4- 2 2 0 1.77
1122 A Colorado Col 1- 2 -1 0 -1.23
1205 A Western Mich 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.94
1206 A Western Mich 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.06
1212 H Arizona St 3- 1 2 2 0.23
1213 H Arizona St 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.77
109 H Lindenwood 6- 3 3 3 0.44
110 H Lindenwood 8- 4 4 3 1.44
116 A St Cloud St 0- 6 -6 0 --- -6.49
117 A St Cloud St 5- 3 2 0 1.51
123 H Western Mich 3- 4 -1 0 -0.79
124 H Western Mich 3- 4 -1 0 -0.79
130 A Denver 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.15
206 H North Dakota 3- 2 1 0 0.89
207 H North Dakota 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.11
220 A Miami 5- 2 3 1 + 2.37
221 A Miami 4- 1 3 1 + 2.37
227 H Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.96
228 H Colorado Col 2- 2 0 1 -0.96
306 H St Cloud St 4- 3 1 1 -0.22
307 H St Cloud St 2- 1 1 1 -0.22
314 A North Dakota 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 A St Cloud St 0- 6 -6 0 --- -6.49 1011 H Augustana 0- 4 -4 1 -- -5.03 1213 H Arizona St 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.77 1101 A North Dakota 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.38 1115 H Omaha 0- 2 -2 2 - -3.75 207 H North Dakota 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.11 227 H Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A North Dakota 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.62 1017 A Bemidji St 7- 3 4 2 + 2.37 1107 H St Cloud St 4- 0 4 1 + 2.78 1205 A Western Mich 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.94 220 A Miami 5- 2 3 1 + 2.37 221 A Miami 4- 1 3 1 + 2.37 |
Minn Duluth Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Army | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Bentley | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Minn Duluth | |
| Canisius | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Holy Cross | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Mercyhurst | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Niagara | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| RIT | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Rob Morris | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Sacred Heart | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Notre Dame | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ohio State | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Penn State | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Wisconsin | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Augustana | Augustana | Augustana 3- 1 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Bemidji St | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Bowl Green | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 1 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Ferris St | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 4- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| L Superor | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mich Tech | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Minn St | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| No Mich | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St. Thomas | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 4- 2 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Alaska | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Alaska Anch | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 4- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lindenwood | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| LIU | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Stonehill | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Brown | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Clarkson | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| Colgate | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Cornell | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| Dartmouth | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Harvard | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Princeton | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Quinnipiac | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| RPI | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| St Lawrence | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Union | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Yale | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Boston Col | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Minn Duluth | |
| Boston Univ | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Connecticut | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| Maine | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| UMass | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| Merrimack | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| New Hamp | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Northeastern | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| Providence | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Minn Duluth | |
| UMass Lowell | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Vermont | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| Arizona St | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 6- 5 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | Colorado Col | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Miami | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| North Dakota | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Omaha | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 6- 5 vs 2- 3 | ||
| St Cloud St | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 56
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.40 3.05 -0.36 1.03 5.52
0 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.40 3.05 -0.36 1.03 -0.90
0 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 7- 3 -2.73 1.72 0.36 1.03 4.27
0 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 5- 1 -2.73 1.72 -0.36 1.03 2.78
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 0 -2.15 2.30 0.36 1.03 5.48
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.15 2.30 0.36 1.03 5.48
0 A North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 4- 3 -0.48 3.97 0.36 1.03 8.91
0 A North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 1- 5 -0.48 3.97 0.36 1.03 -0.06
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 0 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 1.03 5.12
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 1.03 5.12
0 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.12 2.33 -0.36 1.03 4.04
0 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 0- 2 -2.12 2.33 -0.36 1.03 -1.27
0 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 4- 2 -1.33 3.12 0.36 1.03 7.16
0 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 2 -1.33 3.12 0.36 1.03 -0.49
0 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.16 4.29 0.36 1.03 9.56
0 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 2- 3 -0.16 4.29 0.36 1.03 -0.11
0 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 1 -2.14 2.31 -0.36 1.03 3.99
0 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 -2.14 2.31 -0.36 1.03 -1.29
0 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.93 1.52 -0.36 1.03 2.37
0 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 8- 4 -2.93 1.52 -0.36 1.03 2.37
0 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 0- 6 -1.59 2.86 0.36 1.03 -0.63
0 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 5- 3 -1.59 2.86 0.36 1.03 6.62
0 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.16 4.29 -0.36 1.03 -0.27
0 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.16 4.29 -0.36 1.03 -0.27
0 A Denver (24-11, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.25 4.20 0.36 1.03 -0.06
0 A Denver (24-11, 99.7) 0- 1 -0.25 4.20 0.36 1.03 -0.06
0 H North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 3- 2 -0.48 3.97 -0.36 1.03 7.41
0 H North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 1- 4 -0.48 3.97 -0.36 1.03 -0.43
0 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 -1.73 2.72 0.36 1.03 6.34
0 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 -1.73 2.72 0.36 1.03 6.34
0 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 -1.33 3.12 -0.36 1.03 -0.87
0 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 2 -1.33 3.12 -0.36 1.03 ********
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 1.03 5.12
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 2- 1 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 1.03 5.12
0 A North Dakota (29- 9, 99.4) 5- 1 -0.48 3.97 0.36 1.03 8.91
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********
|
winning pts = 118.0163 losing points = -6.7106
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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